GOODMAN: Your p-Values Are Too Small! And So Are Your Confidence Intervals!

An oft-overlooked detail in the significance debate is the challenge of calculating correct p-values and confidence intervals, the favored statistics of the two sides. Standard methods rely on assumptions about how the data were generated and can be way off…

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Searching for Specification Searching in Development Impact Evaluations

[From the paper “Specification Searching and Significance Inflation AcrossTime, Methods and Disciplines” by Eva Vivalt, published in the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics] “…This paper leverages a database of impact evaluation results collected by AidGrade, a US non-profit organization that…

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