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Could Bayes Have Saved Us From the Replication Crisis?

[Excerpts are taken from the article “The Flawed Reasoning Behind the Replication Crisis” by Aubrey Clayton, published at nautil.us] “Suppose an otherwise healthy woman in her forties notices a suspicious lump in her breast and goes in for a mammogram….

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All Roads Lead to Rome?

[From the working paper, “Multiple Perspectives on Inference for Two Simple Statistical Scenarios” by van Dongen et al., posted at PsyArXiv Preprints] “When analyzing a specific data set, statisticians usually operate within the confines of their preferred inferential paradigm. For…

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GELMAN: Some Natural Solutions to the p-Value Communication Problem—And Why They Won’t Work

[NOTE: This is a repost of a blog that Andrew Gelman wrote for the blogsite Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science]. Blake McShane and David Gal recently wrote two articles (“Blinding us to the obvious? The effect of statistical…

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Registered Replications? There’s a Course for That

Professor Eric-Jan “EJ” Wagenmakers, Professor of Psychology at the University of Amsterdam, has been a leading advocate for pre-registration, replication, and the use of Bayesian statistics, particularly in replication studies.  An interview that highlights his professional contributions can be found…

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Can Bayes Save p-values?

FROM THE ARTICLE: “Currently used thresholds in classical test of statistical significance are responsible for much of the non-reproducibility of scientific studies……Bayesian testing methods that calculate the posterior probability in favor of the null hypothesis alleviate the unreliability of p-values,…

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EDWARD LEAMER: On Econometrics in the Basement, the Bayesian Approach, and the Leamer-Rosenthal Prize

(THIS BLOG IS REPOSTED FROM THE BITSS WEBSITE) I became interested in methodological issues as a University of Michigan graduate student from 1967 to 1970, watching the economics faculty build an econometric macro model in the basement of the building (The…

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